:Product: 0324RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Mar 24 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 083 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Mar 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. New Region 864 (S05W61)
was numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for an isolated C-flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with the possibility of isolated
active periods on 25 and 26 March. On 27 March, mostly quiet
conditions are expected.
III.  Event Probabilities 25 Mar-27 Mar
Class M    05/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           24 Mar 076
Predicted   25 Mar-27 Mar  075/075/075
90 Day Mean        24 Mar 079
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Mar  002/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Mar  005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Mar-27 Mar  008/012-005/010-005/007
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Mar-27 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/15/15
Minor storm           10/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/20/20
Minor storm           15/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/01/01