:Product: 0402RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Apr 02 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 092 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Apr 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 865 (S11W06)
continues to show an increase in area and remains a beta gamma delta
magnetic configuration. New Region 867 (S16E16) was numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Isolated C-class flares are possible from Regions 865
and 867.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 03 and 04 April. On 05 April,
mostly quiet to unsettled conditions are expected with isolated
active periods possible as a coronal hole high speed stream becomes
geoeffective.
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Apr-05 Apr
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Apr 091
Predicted   03 Apr-05 Apr  090/090/090
90 Day Mean        02 Apr 079
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Apr  001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Apr  001/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Apr-05 Apr  005/008-005/008-008/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Apr-05 Apr
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/20
Minor storm           05/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/25
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01