:Product: 0408RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Apr 08 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 098 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Apr 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Regions 865 (S09W90) and
867 (S16W67) continued to decay.  Regions 866 (S06W63) and 869
(S12W04) have remained quiescent.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for isolated minor
storm periods for the next two days (09 - 10 April).  Quiet to
unsettled conditions should follow on 11 April.
III.  Event Probabilities 09 Apr-11 Apr
Class M    05/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           08 Apr 091
Predicted   09 Apr-11 Apr  090/085/080
90 Day Mean        08 Apr 080
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Apr  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Apr  004/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr  012/010-010/008-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Apr-11 Apr
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/20/15
Minor storm           15/05/01
Major-severe storm    05/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                40/30/20
Minor storm           25/10/05
Major-severe storm    15/05/01