:Product: 0409RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Apr 09 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 099 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Apr 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 865 has rotated
around the west limb.  All other regions have remained quiescent. 
No new regions were numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels, with major
storming at high latitudes.  The geomagnetic storm was the result of
a co-rotating interaction region preceding the high speed stream
from a coronal hole.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active with a chance for minor storm
conditions on 10 April.  Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected
on 11 - 12 April.
III.  Event Probabilities 10 Apr-12 Apr
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           09 Apr 089
Predicted   10 Apr-12 Apr  085/080/080
90 Day Mean        09 Apr 080
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Apr  003/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Apr  020/020
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Apr-12 Apr  015/015-008/010-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Apr-12 Apr
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/20/15
Minor storm           15/05/01
Major-severe storm    05/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                40/30/20
Minor storm           25/10/05
Major-severe storm    15/05/01