:Product: 0502RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 May 02 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 122 Issued at 2200Z on 02 May 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 875 (S12W47)
produced a B2 flare at 02/1237Z.  Region 879 (N16E07) was numbered
today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.  Active conditions are expected
on 5 May due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 03 May-05 May
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 May 089
Predicted   03 May-05 May  090/090/090
90 Day Mean        02 May 082
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 May  002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 May  003/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 May-05 May  008/010-008/010-015/020
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 May-05 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/25
Minor storm           05/05/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/25/30
Minor storm           10/10/20
Major-severe storm    01/01/10