:Product: 0503RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 May 03 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 123 Issued at 2200Z on 03 May 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 877 (S05W41)
produced a B2 flare at 03/0035 UTC.  No new regions were numbered
today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 04 May.  Active to minor storm
conditions are expected on 05 - 06 May due to a recurrent coronal
hole high speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 04 May-06 May
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 May 089
Predicted   04 May-06 May  090/090/085
90 Day Mean        03 May 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 May  004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 May  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 May-06 May  005/007-015/020-025/030
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 May-06 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/25/40
Minor storm           05/15/20
Major-severe storm    01/05/10
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/30/30
Minor storm           10/20/30
Major-severe storm    01/10/15