:Product: 0519RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 May 19 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 139 Issued at 2200Z on 19 May 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  New Region 884 (S13E47)
was numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  An isolated period of
active conditions was observed at 18/2100 UTC.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for 20 May.  Predominately quiet
conditions are expected for 21-22 May.
III.  Event Probabilities 20 May-22 May
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           19 May 075
Predicted   20 May-22 May  077/079/080
90 Day Mean        19 May 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 May  011/016
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 May  005/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 May-22 May  005/008-005/005-003/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 May-22 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/05
Minor storm           05/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor storm           10/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01