:Product: 0522RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 May 22 2253 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 142 Issued at 2200Z on 22 May 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Today's activity consisted
of a single, B6 x-ray event at 1952Z from Region 884 (S13E08). The
event was accompanied by a slow Type II radio sweep (estimated 
velocity 548 km/s). Region 884 and Region 885 (S12E17) are the only 
spotted regions on the disk and are stable and quiet.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low during the next three days (23-25 May).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next two days (23-24 May). Generally
unsettled conditions are expected on the third day (25 May) due to
recurrence.
III.  Event Probabilities 23 May-25 May
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           22 May 083
Predicted   23 May-25 May  085/085/085
90 Day Mean        22 May 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 May  004/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 May  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 May-25 May  005/005-005/005-008/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 May-25 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/20
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/20
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01