:Product: 0526RSGA.txt :Issued: 2006 May 26 2204 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 146 Issued at 2200Z on 26 May 2006 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 885 (S12W38) produced a B5 flare at 25/2328Z. A halo CME was observed in LASCO imagery, beginning at 26/0006Z. Regions 887 (S12E64) and 888 (N05W64) were numbered today. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next two days (27-28 May). Unsettled conditions, with isolated active periods, are expected on 29 May due to transient effects from today's CME. III. Event Probabilities 27 May-29 May Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 26 May 082 Predicted 27 May-29 May 080/080/080 90 Day Mean 26 May 081 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 25 May 004/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 26 May 004/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 27 May-29 May 005/005-005/005-010/015 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 May-29 May A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/10/20 Minor storm 05/05/10 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/15/30 Minor storm 05/05/15 Major-severe storm 01/01/05