:Product: 0609RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jun 09 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 160 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jun 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
in the last 24 hours. Region 892 (S06W02) remains beta-gamma and appears stable.  Region 893 (S02E24) appears stable and is slowly decaying.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  The solar wind velocity remains elevated at approximately 550 km/s, but is not producing enhanced geomagnetic activity.  The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field is expected
to be quiet to unsettled for the next 3 days (10 - 12 June).  
III.  Event Probabilities 10 Jun-12 Jun
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           09 Jun 078
Predicted   10 Jun-12 Jun  078/078/078
90 Day Mean        09 Jun 082
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jun  018/020
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jun  012/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jun-12 Jun  007/010-007/010-007/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jun-12 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/25/25
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/25/25
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/05