:Product: 0610RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jun 10 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 161 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Jun 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Today's activity
consisted of a single B-class flare from Region 892 (S07W14) at
1639Z.  The region remains beta-gamma but appears stable and
generally unchanged compared to yesterday.  Region 893 (S02E10) has
decreased somewhat in area.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  The solar wind
velocity remains somewhat elevated, but is decreasing steadily and
has not enhanced geomagnetic activity.  The  greater than 2 MeV
electron flux reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (11 - 13
June).
III.  Event Probabilities 11 Jun-13 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           10 Jun 076
Predicted   11 Jun-13 Jun  075/075/075
90 Day Mean        10 Jun 082
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Jun  009/010
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Jun  010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Jun-13 Jun  007/010-007/010-007/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Jun-13 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/25/25
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/25/25
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/05