:Product: 0611RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jun 11 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 162 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jun 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels.  Region 892
(S07W27) was limited to minor B-class flare activity with slow decay
in the magnetic gamma structure which was evident today.  A simply
structured Hsx alpha group emerged during the period and is newly
numbered Region 894 (S07E36).
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.  The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high
levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
III.  Event Probabilities 12 Jun-14 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           11 Jun 074
Predicted   12 Jun-14 Jun  075/075/075
90 Day Mean        11 Jun 082
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jun  007/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Jun  006/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Jun-14 Jun  005/008-005/008-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jun-14 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/20
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01