:Product: 0612RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jun 12 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 163 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Jun 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels.  Region 892
(S07W40) continues to show steady decay.  No new regions were
numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels today.  The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.  Isolated active
conditions may be possible on 16 June due to a small recurrent
coronal hole.
III.  Event Probabilities 13 Jun-15 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           12 Jun 074
Predicted   13 Jun-15 Jun  075/075/075
90 Day Mean        12 Jun 082
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Jun  004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Jun  005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Jun-15 Jun  005/008-008/008-010/012
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Jun-15 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/20/25
Minor storm           01/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/25
Minor storm           05/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/05