:Product: 0613RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jun 13 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 164 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jun 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels.  No new regions
were numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.  The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.  Isolated active
conditions may be possible late on 14 June and into 15 June as a
recurrent coronal hole becomes geoeffective.
III.  Event Probabilities 14 Jun-16 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           13 Jun 077
Predicted   14 Jun-16 Jun  075/075/075
90 Day Mean        13 Jun 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jun  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Jun  003/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun  008/008-010/012-005/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jun-16 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/25/15
Minor storm           05/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/25/25
Minor storm           05/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/05/01