:Product: 0616RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jun 16 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 167 Issued at 2200Z on 16 Jun 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Region 892 (S06, L=290)
produced a C2.8 at 16/1423 UTC.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Solar wind speed at ACE
has decreased from approximately 600 km/s to 520 km/s. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III.  Event Probabilities 17 Jun-19 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           16 Jun 075
Predicted   17 Jun-19 Jun  075/080/080
90 Day Mean        16 Jun 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 Jun  017/028
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 Jun  010/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 Jun-19 Jun  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 Jun-19 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01