:Product: 0621RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jun 21 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 172 Issued at 2200Z on 21 Jun 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  20/2100Z
to 21/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 20/2100Z to 21/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit is expected to be moderate to high.
III.  Event Probabilities 22 Jun-24 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           21 Jun 073
Predicted   22 Jun-24 Jun  075/075/075
90 Day Mean        21 Jun 082
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 20 Jun  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 21 Jun  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 22 Jun-24 Jun  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 22 Jun-24 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01