:Product: 0626RSGA.txt :Issued: 2006 Jun 26 2203 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 177 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Jun 2006 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 897 (N06E57) produced two B1 flares during the past 24 hours. A Bright Surge on the Limb (N03E90), reaching a height of .18 solar radius at 26/0549Z, was reported by the Learmonth Solar Observatory. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. There is a chance for a C-class flare from Region 897. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 27 June. A recurrent coronal hole is expected to rotate into geoeffective position on 28 Jun. Unsettled to active conditions are expected for 28-29 June, with minor storm periods possible on 28 June. III. Event Probabilities 27 Jun-29 Jun Class M 05/05/05 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 26 Jun 076 Predicted 27 Jun-29 Jun 078/078/078 90 Day Mean 26 Jun 082 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 25 Jun 003/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Jun 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Jun-29 Jun 005/006-012/020-010/015 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Jun-29 Jun A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/25/20 Minor storm 05/10/10 Major-severe storm 01/05/01 B. High Latitudes Active 15/30/25 Minor storm 05/20/15 Major-severe storm 01/10/05