:Product: 0627RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jun 27 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 178 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Jun 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  26/2100Z
to 27/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 897 (N06E44) has
developed in complexity and is now a Cai beta-gamma group.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.  Region 897 may produce C-class activity.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active on 28 - 29 June due to a coronal
hole high speed stream.  Expect mostly quiet conditions on 30 June.
III.  Event Probabilities 28 Jun-30 Jun
Class M    10/10/10
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           27 Jun 079
Predicted   28 Jun-30 Jun  080/080/080
90 Day Mean        27 Jun 082
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Jun  001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Jun  003/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Jun-30 Jun  012/020-010/015-005/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Jun-30 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/20/15
Minor storm           10/10/01
Major-severe storm    05/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/25/25
Minor storm           20/15/10
Major-severe storm    10/05/01