:Product: 0630RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jun 30 2232 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 181 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Jun 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  29/2100Z
to 30/2100Z:  Solar activity continues at very low levels. Active
Regions 897 (N07E02) and 898 (S06E40) produced minor B-class flares.
Both regions are in decay.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels. There is a slight chance for a C-class flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed is
elevated due to a high speed coronal hole stream.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 01 and 02 July. Active to minor
storm periods are expected on 03 July as a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream rotates into a geoeffective position.
III.  Event Probabilities 01 Jul-03 Jul
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           30 Jun 086
Predicted   01 Jul-03 Jul  085/085/085
90 Day Mean        30 Jun 079
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Jun  008/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Jun  010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Jul-03 Jul  005/008-005/005-015/020
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Jul-03 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/40
Minor storm           01/01/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/15/50
Minor storm           05/01/25
Major-severe storm    01/01/15