:Product: 0711RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jul 11 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 192 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jul 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels.  Region 899
(S06W18) underwent penumbral decay during the past 24 hours.  No new
regions were numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels with isolated
major storm conditions possible on 12 July due to a recurrent high
speed coronal hole stream. A return to quiet to unsettled levels is
expected on 13 and 14 July as the coronal hole moves out of a
geoeffective position.
III.  Event Probabilities 12 Jul-14 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           11 Jul 071
Predicted   12 Jul-14 Jul  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        11 Jul 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jul  012/011
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Jul  010/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Jul-14 Jul  015/030-007/010-007/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jul-14 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                35/20/20
Minor storm           15/05/05
Major-severe storm    10/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                45/20/20
Minor storm           20/10/10
Major-severe storm    10/05/05