:Product: 0712RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jul 12 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 193 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Jul 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No new regions were
numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Activity was due to a
coronal hole high speed stream moving into geoeffective position
late on 11 July. Solar wind speed at ACE is currently elevated
around 510 km/s.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III.  Event Probabilities 13 Jul-15 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           12 Jul 071
Predicted   13 Jul-15 Jul  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        12 Jul 080
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Jul  005/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Jul  012/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Jul-15 Jul  007/010-007/010-005/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Jul-15 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/15
Minor storm           10/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/25/20
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01