:Product: 0713RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jul 13 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 194 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jul 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels.  The only
spotted region on the disk, Region 899 (S05W41) has steadily decayed
into an Axx alpha sunspot group.  No new regions were numbered
today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
III.  Event Probabilities 14 Jul-16 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           13 Jul 070
Predicted   14 Jul-16 Jul  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        13 Jul 080
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jul  009/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Jul  006/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Jul-16 Jul  006/008-005/005-003/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jul-16 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/10
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01