:Product: 0714RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jul 14 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 195 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jul 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity remains at very low levels.  Region 900
(S05E43) a Cso beta group was numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.  An isolated
active period occurred between 14/1500 and 1800Z due to a solar
sector boundary crossing.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
III.  Event Probabilities 15 Jul-17 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           14 Jul 071
Predicted   15 Jul-17 Jul  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        14 Jul 080
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jul  003/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jul  006/009
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jul-17 Jul  005/008-003/005-003/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jul-17 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/15/15
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01