:Product: 0717RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jul 17 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 198 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Jul 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  16/2100Z
to 17/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 900 (S05E02)
remains a beta magnetic configuration.  Several enhancements and
near surging have been observed in this region which have resulted
in slight fluctuations in the x-ray background.  No new regions were
numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.  There is a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare from
Region 900.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet.
III.  Event Probabilities 18 Jul-20 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           17 Jul 071
Predicted   18 Jul-20 Jul  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        17 Jul 080
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 Jul  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Jul  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Jul-20 Jul  003/005-003/005-003/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Jul-20 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01