:Product: 0718RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jul 18 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 199 Issued at 2200Z on 18 Jul 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  17/2100Z
to 18/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 900 (S05W12) has
produced minor B-class flares over the past 24 hours.  This Dsi beta
group has grown in both area and sunspot count.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.  Region 900 may produce C-class activity.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 17/2100Z to 18/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet.
III.  Event Probabilities 19 Jul-21 Jul
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           18 Jul 071
Predicted   19 Jul-21 Jul  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        18 Jul 080
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 17 Jul  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 18 Jul  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 19 Jul-21 Jul  003/005-003/005-003/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 19 Jul-21 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01