:Product: 0724RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Jul 24 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 205 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jul 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. A C1 flare occurred at 24/1501
UTC from a region on the east limb at approximately S12. No new
regions were numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with possible active conditions on
25 July due to coronal hole activity.  On 26 and 27 July, quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected.
III.  Event Probabilities 25 Jul-27 Jul
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           24 Jul 077
Predicted   25 Jul-27 Jul  075/080/080
90 Day Mean        24 Jul 079
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jul  004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Jul  005/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Jul-27 Jul  010/020-008/012-005/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jul-27 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/15
Minor storm           10/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                35/25/20
Minor storm           20/15/10
Major-severe storm    15/05/01