:Product: 0801RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Aug 01 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 213 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Aug 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  31/2100Z
to 01/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.  Solar wind speed has been
decreasing after a peak of approximately 650 km/s at 01/1300 UTC,
down to approxmately 550 km/s at time of issue.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (02 - 04
August).
III.  Event Probabilities 02 Aug-04 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           01 Aug 073
Predicted   02 Aug-04 Aug  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        01 Aug 077
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Jul  011/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Aug  013/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Aug-04 Aug  008/010-005/008-003/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Aug-04 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/15/10
Minor storm           10/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/20/15
Minor storm           15/15/10
Major-severe storm    05/01/01