:Product: 0802RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Aug 02 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 214 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Aug 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  Solar wind speed
remains elevated at 550 km/sec due to a coronal hole high speed
stream.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (03 - 05 August).
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Aug-05 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Aug 072
Predicted   03 Aug-05 Aug  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        02 Aug 077
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Aug  009/012
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Aug  010/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Aug-05 Aug  005/008-003/005-003/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Aug-05 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor storm           10/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/15/15
Minor storm           15/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01