:Product: 0805RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Aug 05 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 217 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Aug 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  04/2100Z
to 05/2100Z:  Solar activity remains at very low levels.  No spotted
regions were observed on the disk during the past 24 hours.  No new
regions were numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quite levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels.  Isolated active
periods may be possible on 08 August with the onset of a recurrent
coronal hole.
III.  Event Probabilities 06 Aug-08 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           05 Aug 070
Predicted   06 Aug-08 Aug  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        05 Aug 076
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Aug  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Aug  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Aug-08 Aug  005/008-008/010-010/012
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Aug-08 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/20/20
Minor storm           05/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/25
Minor storm           05/10/15
Major-severe storm    01/05/05