:Product: 0807RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Aug 07 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 219 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Aug 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No new regions were
numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to major storm conditions.
Activity was due to a solar sector boundary crossing followed by a
coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue to be quiet to active with minor storm periods
possible at higher latitudes on 08 August. On 09 and 10 August,
conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III.  Event Probabilities 08 Aug-10 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Aug 070
Predicted   08 Aug-10 Aug  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        07 Aug 076
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Aug  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Aug  025/030
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Aug-10 Aug  012/015-008/010-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Aug-10 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/20/20
Minor storm           15/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/25/20
Minor storm           15/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/01/01