:Product: 0808RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Aug 08 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 220 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Aug 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. New Region 903 (S09E56)
was numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Solar wind speed at ACE
remains elevated at around 600 km/s. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods
possible on 09 August. On 10 and 11 August, quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected.
III.  Event Probabilities 09 Aug-11 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           08 Aug 071
Predicted   09 Aug-11 Aug  070/075/075
90 Day Mean        08 Aug 076
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Aug  019/032
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Aug  012/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Aug-11 Aug  008/010-008/008-005/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Aug-11 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/15
Minor storm           10/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/20/20
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01