:Product: 0831RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Aug 31 2309 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 243 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Aug 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30/2100Z
to 31/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels today.  
Region 905 (S08W67) produced multiple B-class flares during 
the period.  Region 906 (S09W51) is a rapidly emerging, newly 
numbered region.  This region produced a B7 x-ray event that 
occurred at 31/1748Z and had an associated Type IV radio 
emission in addition to a Tenflare with a peak flux of 740 sfu. 
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.  There is a chance for an isolated C-class flares
from both Regions 905 and 906.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 31/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels.  A chance
for active to isolated minor storm conditions are possible on 03
September due to a recurrent coronal hole.
III.  Event Probabilities 01 Sep-03 Sep
Class M    01/05/15
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           31 Aug 083
Predicted   01 Sep-03 Sep  090/095/090
90 Day Mean        31 Aug 077
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Aug  005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 31 Aug  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Sep-03 Sep  004/005-004/010-012/020
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Sep-03 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/25
Minor storm           01/01/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/35
Minor storm           05/05/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/10