:Product: 0907RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Sep 07 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 250 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Sep 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 909 (S09E09)
produced a long duration B4.2 flare at 07/0746 UTC. No new regions
were numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for an isolated C-flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet with an isolated active period at
middle latitudes between 07/0600 - 0900 UTC. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet.
III.  Event Probabilities 08 Sep-10 Sep
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Sep 087
Predicted   08 Sep-10 Sep  085/085/085
90 Day Mean        07 Sep 076
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Sep  006/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Sep  006/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Sep-10 Sep  004/005-004/005-004/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Sep-10 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01