:Product: 0909RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Sep 09 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 252 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Sep 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No new regions were
numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for an isolated C-class event possible.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on 10 September.  Quiet to unsettled conditions
are possible on 12-13 September due to a coronal hole.
III.  Event Probabilities 10 Sep-12 Sep
Class M    10/10/10
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           09 Sep 086
Predicted   10 Sep-12 Sep  085/085/085
90 Day Mean        09 Sep 076
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Sep  004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Sep  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Sep-12 Sep  005/005-008/008-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Sep-12 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/20/20
Minor storm           05/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01