:Product: 0912RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Sep 12 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 255 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Sep 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z:  Solar activity was low.  Region 908 (S12W18) produced a
C1.0/Sf flare at 11/2309Z.  Region 909 (S09W60) produced two
low-level B-class flares.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (13-15
Sep).
III.  Event Probabilities 13 Sep-15 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           12 Sep 084
Predicted   13 Sep-15 Sep  085/085/080
90 Day Mean        12 Sep 077
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Sep  007/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Sep  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Sep-15 Sep  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Sep-15 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01