:Product: 1011RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Oct 11 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 284 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Oct 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.  Isolated active periods are
possible on 14 October as a recurrent coronal hole rotates into a
geoeffective position.
III.  Event Probabilities 12 Oct-14 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           11 Oct 074
Predicted   12 Oct-14 Oct  072/072/070
90 Day Mean        11 Oct 077
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Oct  000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Oct  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Oct-14 Oct  005/008-005/005-010/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Oct-14 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/20
Minor storm           05/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/25
Minor storm           10/05/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/05