:Product: 1012RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Oct 12 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 285 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Oct 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  The solar disk remains
spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet on 13 October.  Expect quiet to
active levels on 14-15 October, with isolated minor storm conditions
possible on 15 October, due to a recurrent coronal hole.
III.  Event Probabilities 13 Oct-15 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           12 Oct 074
Predicted   13 Oct-15 Oct  072/070/070
90 Day Mean        12 Oct 077
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Oct  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Oct  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Oct-15 Oct  005/005-010/010-015/020
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Oct-15 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/20/30
Minor storm           05/10/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/25/35
Minor storm           05/15/25
Major-severe storm    01/05/10