:Product: 1026RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Oct 26 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 299 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Oct 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  25/2100Z
to 26/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels.  There were no
spotted regions on the visible disk during the period.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.  The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 27 October.  A
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is expected to become
geoeffective on 28 October.  Active to minor storm conditions can be
expected with the onset of the coronal hole.  A return to quiet to
unsettled levels is expected on 29 October.
III.  Event Probabilities 27 Oct-29 Oct
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           26 Oct 072
Predicted   27 Oct-29 Oct  070/070/070
90 Day Mean        26 Oct 077
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 25 Oct  004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Oct  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Oct-29 Oct  010/010-018/020-008/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Oct-29 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/40/20
Minor storm           10/15/05
Major-severe storm    05/10/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/45/25
Minor storm           10/20/10
Major-severe storm    05/10/05