:Product: 1101RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Nov 01 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 305 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Nov 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  31/2100Z
to 01/2100Z:  Solar activity continued very low. Region 921 (S07E30)
grew in white light and h-alpha to be a moderate-sized sunspot group
of approximately 250 millionths. It also shows a degree of magnetic
complexity with mixed polarities within its spots. It has been quiet
to this point, however.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low, with a C-class flare from Region 921 distinctly
possible.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Energetic electrons at
geosynchronous orbit were again high.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to mildly unsettled throughout the forecast
period.
III.  Event Probabilities 02 Nov-04 Nov
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           01 Nov 087
Predicted   02 Nov-04 Nov  090/090/095
90 Day Mean        01 Nov 077
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Oct  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Nov  004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Nov-04 Nov  005/005-005/008-005/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Nov-04 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/05