:Product: 1103RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Nov 03 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 307 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Nov 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Regions 921 (S06E02) and
922 (S13E18) were both quiet and stable. Region 921 still retains a
modest degree of magnetic complexity. Some prominence activity
occurred near S40E90.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to persist at quiet to unsettled levels.
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
Class M    10/10/10
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Nov 087
Predicted   04 Nov-06 Nov  090/090/090
90 Day Mean        03 Nov 078
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Nov  006/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Nov  007/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Nov-06 Nov  005/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/05