:Product: 1106RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Nov 06 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 310 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Nov 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was low.  Region 921 (S06W39) produced a
long duration C2 flare at 06/1051Z.  A C8 flare occurred at
06/1746Z, with an associated Type II radio sweep and tenflare. 
SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery indicates an associated CME from the east limb
at 06/1854Z.  A new CME-producing active region is just starting to
rotate onto the east limb as seen on EIT/SXI imagery.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on 07-08 November.  Quiet to active conditions
are expected on 9 November as a recurrent coronal hole rotates into
a geoeffective position.
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Nov-09 Nov
Class M    10/10/10
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Nov 084
Predicted   07 Nov-09 Nov  085/090/090
90 Day Mean        06 Nov 078
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Nov  003/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Nov  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Nov-09 Nov  005/005-005/005-012/020
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Nov-09 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/30
Minor storm           05/05/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/45
Minor storm           10/10/25
Major-severe storm    05/05/10