:Product: 1108RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Nov 08 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 312 Issued at 2200Z on 08 Nov 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  07/2100Z
to 08/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  New Region 923 (S05E71)
produced multiple B-class flares in the last 24 hours.  The largest
of these was a B6 at 08/1233Z.  The large leader spot in this new
sunspot group is now visible.  Region 921 (S06W66) produced a couple
of low-level B-class flares today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low. 
There remains a chance for an isolated M-class flare from Region
923.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 07/2100Z to 08/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active, with possible minor storm
periods on 09-10 November as a recurrent coronal hole rotates into a
geoeffective position.  Quiet to active conditions are expected on
11 November.
III.  Event Probabilities 09 Nov-11 Nov
Class M    20/20/20
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     05/05/05
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           08 Nov 086
Predicted   09 Nov-11 Nov  090/090/085
90 Day Mean        08 Nov 078
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 07 Nov  000/000
Estimated Afr/Ap 08 Nov  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov  015/025-010/015-007/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 09 Nov-11 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                35/25/15
Minor storm           15/10/05
Major-severe storm    05/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                45/35/25
Minor storm           30/20/15
Major-severe storm    15/10/05