:Product: 1111RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Nov 11 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 315 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Nov 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  10/2100Z
to 11/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 923 (S04E34) has
produced only B-class activity over the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels.  A single
minor storm period was observed at mid latitudes from 11/0600 -
0900Z.  Solar wind speed remains elevated at approximately 600 km/s,
due to the coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be unsettled to active on 12 November.  Expect quiet to
unsettled conditions on 13 - 14 November.
III.  Event Probabilities 12 Nov-14 Nov
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           11 Nov 097
Predicted   12 Nov-14 Nov  095/095/095
90 Day Mean        11 Nov 079
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 10 Nov  029/036
Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Nov  020/020
Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Nov-14 Nov  010/010-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Nov-14 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/15/15
Minor storm           10/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/15/15
Minor storm           15/05/05
Major-severe storm    05/01/01