:Product: 1117RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Nov 17 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 321 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Nov 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  16/2100Z
to 17/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low.  Region 923 (S05W48)
continues to decrease in area and number of spots.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.  Region 923 (S05W48) continues to have the potential for
isolated C-class flares.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (18 - 20 November).
III.  Event Probabilities 18 Nov-20 Nov
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           17 Nov 090
Predicted   18 Nov-20 Nov  090/090/090
90 Day Mean        17 Nov 079
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 Nov  005/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Nov  006/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Nov-20 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Nov-20 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/25/25
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/30/30
Minor storm           15/15/15
Major-severe storm    05/05/05