:Product: 1122RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Nov 22 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 326 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Nov 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was briefly at high levels today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 23 November.  On 24 and 25
November, active to minor storm periods are possible due to a
coronal hole high speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 23 Nov-25 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           22 Nov 077
Predicted   23 Nov-25 Nov  070/075/075
90 Day Mean        22 Nov 079
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Nov  001/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Nov  001/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Nov-25 Nov  005/008-012/020-010/015
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Nov-25 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/30/25
Minor storm           05/15/10
Major-severe storm    01/05/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/30/35
Minor storm           10/30/25
Major-severe storm    01/20/15