:Product: 1203RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Dec 03 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 337 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Dec 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was low.  Region 926 (S10W25) produced
two C1/Sf flares at 02/2207Z and 03/0325Z.  This region remains a
beta-gamma group.  Region 927 (N08W21) was quiet and stable.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the first two days (4-5 December). 
Predominantly quiet to unsettled conditions, with isolated active
periods, are expected on 6 December as a recurrent coronal hole
rotates into a geoeffective position.
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Dec-06 Dec
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Dec 087
Predicted   04 Dec-06 Dec  085/090/090
90 Day Mean        03 Dec 080
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Dec  001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Dec  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Dec-06 Dec  005/005-005/005-010/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Dec-06 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/25
Minor storm           05/05/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/25
Minor storm           05/05/15
Major-severe storm    01/01/05