:Product: 1226RSGA.txt :Issued: 2006 Dec 26 2204 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 360 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Dec 2006 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No new regions were numbered today. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active conditions for 27 December due to a recurrent solar sector boundary crossing. Predominately quiet conditions are expected for 28-29 December. III. Event Probabilities 27 Dec-29 Dec Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 26 Dec 075 Predicted 27 Dec-29 Dec 075/075/075 90 Day Mean 26 Dec 082 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 25 Dec 004/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Dec 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Dec-29 Dec 012/015-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Dec-29 Dec A. Middle Latitudes Active 25/10/10 Minor storm 15/05/05 Major-severe storm 05/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 35/15/15 Minor storm 20/05/05 Major-severe storm 10/01/01