:Product: 1229RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2006 Dec 29 2204 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 363 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Dec 2006
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  28/2100Z
to 29/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  A B1 flare occurred at
29/1043Z off the SE limb.  The solar disk remains spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (30 December - 01
January).
III.  Event Probabilities 30 Dec-01 Jan
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           29 Dec 078
Predicted   30 Dec-01 Jan  080/085/090
90 Day Mean        29 Dec 082
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Dec  001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Dec  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Dec-01 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Dec-01 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01