:Product: 0109RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2007 Jan 09 2203 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 009 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jan 2007
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 933 (S06W56)
developed several new spots in the northwestern portion of the spot
group. No new regions were numbered today.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for isolated C-flare activity from Region 933.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet.
III.  Event Probabilities 10 Jan-12 Jan
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           09 Jan 092
Predicted   10 Jan-12 Jan  090/085/080
90 Day Mean        09 Jan 083
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jan  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jan  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jan-12 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jan-12 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01