:Product: 0114RSGA.txt :Issued: 2007 Jan 14 2204 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 014 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jan 2007 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 938 (N02E48) produced several minor B-class flares today and is the only spotted region currently on the visible disk. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on 15 January. Active to minor storm conditions are possible on 16 and 17 January due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. III. Event Probabilities 15 Jan-17 Jan Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 14 Jan 082 Predicted 15 Jan-17 Jan 085/085/085 90 Day Mean 14 Jan 084 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jan 000/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jan 001/003 Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jan-17 Jan 006/010-015/020-015/015 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jan-17 Jan A. Middle Latitudes Active 15/25/25 Minor storm 05/15/15 Major-severe storm 01/05/05 B. High Latitudes Active 20/35/30 Minor storm 10/20/15 Major-severe storm 01/10/05